Comparison Analysis of Bitcoin and Gold Performance at $10,000

The performance of Bitcoin (BTC) and gold at $10,000 varies depending on the nature of macro shocks and the timing of investment. While relative strength of BTC has been observed during specific comparison periods, there is insufficient evidence to determine its superiority in the next crisis. AMBCrypto reported that if $10,000 had been invested in BTC during the U.S.-Iran conflict, it would have grown to $11,762, while an investment in gold would have reached $8,200. However, due to the unclear comparison period and calculation criteria, this figure should be considered as a calculation under specific conditions. As the yield on U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds approaches 4.9% from 4.7%, the weekly adjustment range for BTC has remained around 3%. Gold is not an asset that rises under all macro shocks, and the World Gold Council explained that rising interest rates and a strong dollar could be downward factors for gold prices. If current conditions do not change significantly, gold prices are projected to fluctuate around $4,100 per ounce with a ±5% range in the second half of 2026. Bitcoin has 24-hour trading and high liquidity, but it can behave like a risky asset during liquidity contraction or leverage liquidation. The intersection of Bitcoin and gold is also evident in the tokenization market, with the on-chain real-world asset (RWA) market size presented at $46.4 billion and the tokenized gold size at $5.1 billion. Market reactions are mixed, and while there are analyses suggesting that the correlation between Bitcoin and gold has increased, it cannot be concluded that the two assets move in the same direction.

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