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2026 Fed Rate Final Value Outlook: The probability of a 50 basis points rate cut for the full year is 32.5%, and for a 75 basis points cut is 25.9%
BlockBeats News, February 8th, according to CME FedWatch data, by the end of 2026, the probability of no further Fed rate cuts for the full year is 5.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut throughout the year is 21.1%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 32.5%, the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point cut is 25.9%, the probability of a cumulative 100 basis point cut is 11.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 125 basis point cut is 3%.
Furthermore, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's next meeting (March) is 23.2%.
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