Polymarket has launched "Claude developer Anthropic's next round of financing deadline," with the current probability reported at 22% before the end of June; and 81% before the end of December. The event contract rules are as follows: if the specified company publicly and officially announces that it has completed the next round of financing before the specified date (Eastern Time), the market will ultimately be determined as "yes." Otherwise, this market will ultimately conclude as "no." A qualified announcement must clearly confirm that the new round of financing has been completed, which can be through the specified company (such as a press release) or official announcements from its investors, regulatory documents, or consensus reported by credible media.
Informal announcements, statements from anonymous sources, or leaks do not meet the criteria. If the specified company is unable to complete the new round of financing due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by other entities, the market will be settled as "no." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official announcements from the specified company, as well as official documents from the company, such as SEC filings; however, credible consensus reporting can also be used. According to ChainCatcher, the Odaily Seer prophet channel continues to monitor the prediction market and has seen changes before pricing.
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