Bitcoin is negatively correlated with the global easing breadth index, and the inflow of ETF funds signals institutional accumulation
The correlation between Bitcoin and the Global Easing Breadth Index, which covers 41 central banks, has recently turned significantly negative, indicating that institutional funds represented by ETFs are more forward-looking or may have already positioned themselves for a potential future monetary policy easing cycle.
This week, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded the largest single-day net inflow since late February, and the market generally believes that institutional investors view the current price range as an opportunity for allocation and accumulation. However, the overall market remains in a range-bound and structurally weak state. Analysts believe that current organic demand is weak, corporate Bitcoin allocation is slowing, and the options market has seen a significant increase in volatility after prices fell below $68,000, with traders more inclined to increase downside protection.
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